Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002099 0.002250 0.002406 0.002581 0.002772 0.002973 0.003201
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001899 0.002111 0.002341 0.002610 0.002917 0.003256 0.003662
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001740 0.001991 0.002272 0.002613 0.003017 0.003482 0.004062
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001621 0.001900 0.002222 0.002624 0.003115 0.003701 0.004459
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001508 0.001804 0.002153 0.002601 0.003165 0.003857 0.004781
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001418 0.001726 0.002099 0.002588 0.003219 0.004014 0.005107
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001324 0.001636 0.002021 0.002537 0.003217 0.004095 0.005335
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001254 0.001572 0.001971 0.002516 0.003249 0.004218 0.005620
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001159 0.001471 0.001867 0.002416 0.003169 0.004182 0.005681
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001137 0.001463 0.001883 0.002477 0.003307 0.004450 0.006182
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001109 0.001444 0.001884 0.002515 0.003414 0.004677 0.006638
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001110 0.001464 0.001936 0.002626 0.003628 0.005069 0.007364
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001055 0.001408 0.001887 0.002598 0.003652 0.005198 0.007724
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001006 0.001359 0.001844 0.002576 0.003683 0.005342 0.008120
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000961 0.001314 0.001805 0.002558 0.003718 0.005493 0.008539
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000926 0.001280 0.001780 0.002560 0.003781 0.005692 0.009051
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000886 0.001237 0.001740 0.002535 0.003801 0.005819 0.009451
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000853 0.001202 0.001708 0.002520 0.003835 0.005972 0.009906
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000812 0.001154 0.001656 0.002470 0.003809 0.006020 0.010175
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000781 0.001120 0.001623 0.002449 0.003828 0.006146 0.010596
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000734 0.001059 0.001546 0.002353 0.003715 0.006035 0.010562
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000727 0.001060 0.001563 0.002411 0.003868 0.006401 0.011468
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000715 0.001052 0.001568 0.002448 0.003985 0.006708 0.012288